Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -900 TAR +640 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +14 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -11.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -8.5 (+5.5) | 130.6 (-14.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -7.9 (+6.1) | 127.7 (-11.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -7.6 (+6.4) | 130.5 (-14.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2022 | WICH 83 – 71 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 6-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-5 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#215) | -2.6 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#72) | -0.62 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#82) | -0.82 (#244) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.521 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 25.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 8.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 58.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 57.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.3% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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