Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CCU -150 SDAK +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +7 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -4.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -1.4 (+5.6) | 142.1 (-17.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -2.6 (+4.4) | 138.5 (-13.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -2.4 (+4.6) | 144.2 (-19.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -1.9 (+5.1) | 144.1 (-19.1) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2022 | CCU 87 – 86 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-8 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#336) | -7.7 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#294) | 0.84 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#283) | 1.35 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.354 (#336) | 0.578 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 23.7% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.40 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.3% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 27.4% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.1% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.4% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.