Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -163 CCU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +1 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | SDAK -3.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (+36.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -1.6 (-2.6) | 135.2 (+37.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -0.8 (-0.2) | 137.1 (+35.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -2.2 (-3.2) | 136.6 (+36.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -2.0 (-3.0) | 136.6 (+36.4) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2022 | CCU 66 – 59 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#311) | -6.2 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#222) | -0.23 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#247) | -0.03 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#207) | 0.464 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 24.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 12.2% |
Game Analysis
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