Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -800 PRES +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +27 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -20.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 114.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -14.8 (+12.2) | 123.7 (-12.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -15.1 (+11.9) | 126.1 (-15.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -14.7 (+12.3) | 128.1 (-17.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -14.5 (+12.5) | 126.6 (-15.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | CLT 88 – 79 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 1-17 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-8 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W4 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#78) | -8.0 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#102) | -3.03 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#101) | -4.76 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#119) | 0.339 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 20.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 40.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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