Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -4000 DSU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +27 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -16.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -12.7 (+14.3) | 131.7 (+1.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -15.1 (+11.9) | 132.3 (+0.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -10.7 (+16.3) | 137.1 (-4.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -12.9 (+14.1) | 136.2 (-3.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2021 | LIB 96 – 60 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 4-10 |
| Home | 19-1 | 4-8 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#159) | -8.0 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#154) | -2.37 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#112) | -4.06 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#103) | 0.371 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 13.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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