Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +36 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -21.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.0 (+39.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -18.3 (+17.7) | 126.0 (+30.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -19.2 (+16.8) | 130.5 (+25.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -15.7 (+20.3) | 129.0 (+27.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -16.8 (+19.2) | 127.4 (+28.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2022 | LIB 80 – 53 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#154) | -15.6 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#178) | -3.73 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#215) | -4.91 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#122) | 0.253 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 24.5% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 25.6% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 61.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 10.2% |
Game Analysis
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