Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -300 MRST +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +6 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -16.3 (-22.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -8.2 (-14.2) | 132.7 (-18.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -11.4 (-17.4) | 137.5 (-23.5) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -11.5 (-17.5) | 136.6 (-22.6) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -10.3 (-16.3) | 134.0 (-20.0) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2023 | MRST 73 – 49 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#154) | -7.9 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#120) | -2.12 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#137) | -3.43 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#139) | 0.335 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 62.0% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.