Betting Lines
| Spread | GMU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GMU +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | GMU -3.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GMU -3.1 (+3.9) | 141.8 (-4.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GMU -1.5 (+5.5) | 139.1 (-2.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GMU -2.8 (+4.2) | 142.9 (-5.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GMU -2.6 (+4.4) | 143.7 (-6.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2020 | GMU 66 – 65 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GMU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#228) | 1.2 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#279) | 0.60 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#263) | 0.20 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#221) | 0.516 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GMU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 25.7% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 38.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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