Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -450 NE +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +2 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -14.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -9.9 (-7.9) | 139.6 (-29.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -11.7 (-9.7) | 138.2 (-28.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -11.5 (-9.5) | 139.3 (-29.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -11.6 (-9.6) | 140.4 (-30.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2025 | PRIN 70 – 57 NE |
| Nov 10, 2024 | PRIN 79 – 76 NE |
| Nov 25, 2023 | PRIN 80 – 66 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 6-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#71) | -8.2 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#121) | -1.59 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#144) | -2.35 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#130) | 0.414 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 12.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 81.6% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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