Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NE +260 PRIN -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +3 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -22.5 (-25.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | NE -14.5 (-17.5) | 146.6 (+8.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -14.1 (-17.1) | 146.4 (+8.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -13.7 (-16.7) | 144.3 (+10.7) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2025 | PRIN 70 – 57 NE |
| Nov 25, 2023 | PRIN 80 – 66 NE |
| Nov 26, 2022 | PRIN 56 – 54 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 19-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#56) | -3.4 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#34) | 0.73 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#30) | 0.68 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#188) | 0.469 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 63.8% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 43.8% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 4.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 71.3% | 58.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 19.0% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 62.2% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.1% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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