Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | PRIN -1000 NE +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +14 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -26.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -21.1 (-7.1) | 135.3 (+10.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | PRIN -20.4 (-6.4) | 138.7 (+7.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | PRIN -19.6 (-5.6) | 138.0 (+8.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -22.7 (-8.7) | 137.5 (+8.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2025 | PRIN 70 – 57 NE |
| Nov 10, 2024 | PRIN 79 – 76 NE |
| Nov 26, 2022 | PRIN 56 – 54 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-1 | 7-5 |
| Away | 11-3 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 18.1 (#7) | -1.4 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.63 (#2) | -0.11 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.89 (#2) | 0.22 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.729 (#8) | 0.489 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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