Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -1400 TLSA +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +26 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -9.3 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -7.2 (+18.8) | 149.5 (-11.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -7.5 (+18.5) | 149.1 (-11.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -7.4 (+18.6) | 147.1 (-9.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -10.8 (+15.2) | 146.8 (-8.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | OKST 76 – 55 TLSA |
| Dec 10, 2023 | OKST 72 – 57 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 1-17 |
| Home | 12-6 | 4-10 |
| Away | 6-7 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#148) | -0.8 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#209) | -0.71 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#201) | -0.24 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#158) | 0.379 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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