Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -1400 HART +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +28 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -14.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -10.3 (+17.7) | 144.2 (-16.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -13.0 (+15.0) | 144.6 (-16.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -10.5 (+17.5) | 142.5 (-14.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -10.9 (+17.1) | 144.3 (-16.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 5-23 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-10 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#231) | -16.7 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#193) | -3.41 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#188) | -5.68 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#142) | 0.287 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 13.3% |
Game Analysis
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