Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | OMA +300 SOU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +10 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | SOU -12.7 (+22.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -7.8 (+17.8) | 140.1 (+25.9) | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -9.6 (+19.6) | 140.6 (+25.4) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -7.0 (+17.0) | 139.8 (+26.2) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -8.0 (+18.0) | 139.5 (+26.5) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-2 |
| Away | 1-15 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#320) | 4.1 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#309) | 0.76 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.25 (#319) | 0.95 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#299) | 0.593 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 28.1% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 46.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.