Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | HALL -125 OU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +13 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | HALL -4.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -1.8 (-14.8) | 127.9 (+13.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -2.6 (-15.6) | 127.3 (+13.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -2.5 (-15.5) | 127.8 (+13.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -2.2 (-15.2) | 127.0 (+14.0) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#32) | 6.4 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#62) | 1.45 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#76) | 3.25 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#64) | 0.566 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 36.8% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.7% | 41.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 78.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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