Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | IDST -163 BCU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | IDST -11.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDST -7.5 (-9.5) | 135.9 (-1.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDST -7.0 (-9.0) | 135.1 (-1.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDST -6.3 (-8.3) | 135.0 (-1.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDST -5.6 (-7.6) | 135.3 (-1.3) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#185) | -11.7 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.63 (#335) | -1.09 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.19 (#315) | -2.04 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.354 (#337) | 0.421 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 13.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 59.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 61.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.