Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LAS -600 BING +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +3 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -13.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -10.1 (-7.1) | 140.2 (-13.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -7.5 (-4.5) | 136.9 (-9.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -8.9 (-5.9) | 140.1 (-13.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -8.8 (-5.8) | 140.4 (-13.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#230) | -8.9 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#232) | -1.02 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#211) | -3.35 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#188) | 0.480 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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