Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -700 KENN +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +3 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -11.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -6.7 (-3.7) | 136.3 (-11.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -7.9 (-4.9) | 132.2 (-7.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -7.3 (-4.3) | 135.9 (-10.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -7.8 (-4.8) | 136.0 (-11.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 8-3 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#124) | -1.3 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#167) | 0.86 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#145) | 0.85 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#203) | 0.525 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 58.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 80.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 34.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.