I want the bomb, I want the P-Funk, I want my funk uncut. "P-Funk (Wants to Get Funked Up)" - Parliament
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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65–24 on winners spread MAE 9.2 89 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
VCU @ Dayton +9.1 140.0 82% 86–91 ✓
Evansville @ Drake +11.3 147.8 85% 58–79 ✓
Ohio @ Miami (OH) -1.4 138.3 41% 72–59 ✓
Ball State @ Bowling Green +3.8 139.1 72% 70–80 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Buffalo -2.7 147.1 36% 78–68 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan +6.4 131.8 78% 62–65 ✓
VMI @ East Tennessee State +14.9 142.5 88% 66–98 ✓
Western Illinois @ Little Rock +2.7 137.2 69% 57–82 ✓
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb +2.5 142.8 61% 60–61 ✓
South Dakota @ Oral Roberts +2.1 150.3 63% 62–77 ✓
Kent State @ Toledo +6.5 154.2 75% 71–86 ✓
Pepperdine @ San Diego -4.1 148.9 40% 52–57 ✗
Wichita State @ Tulane +3.8 153.7 73% 75–85 ✓
UIC @ Bradley +9.3 139.6 82% 47–74 ✓
Boise State @ San Diego State +5.8 138.3 72% 79–77 ✗
Morehead State @ UT Martin -4.1 146.6 31% 84–78 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Portland -6.2 141.8 28% 70–78 ✗
Arkansas @ Alabama +15.3 174.7 89% 88–92 ✓
Campbell @ Monmouth +6.0 143.2 74% 67–90 ✓
Le Moyne @ Merrimack +7.1 135.6 78% 51–61 ✓
Mercer @ Samford +8.1 153.4 80% 57–70 ✓
Longwood @ High Point +4.1 148.8 67% 80–79 ✗
Memphis @ Florida Atlantic +6.0 160.7 76% 84–92 ✓
Georgetown @ St. John's +17.4 154.0 90% 78–86 ✓
Brown @ Yale +12.4 141.5 86% 84–81 ✗
Georgia Southern @ App State +12.9 146.9 86% 80–85 ✓
Saint Louis @ St. Bonaventure +12.3 154.7 87% 73–65 ✗
Rhode Island @ Fordham +5.0 145.0 71% 58–50 ✗
Davidson @ Saint Joseph's +4.6 138.7 73% 71–89 ✓
Siena @ Iona +12.5 135.9 88% 54–68 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Liberty +3.9 150.2 68% 79–82 ✓
Iowa State @ Kansas State -4.6 136.6 33% 58–65 ✗
Wagner @ Central Connecticut +5.5 127.6 67% 66–56 ✗
Maine @ Bryant +4.6 140.4 70% 58–84 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville +3.2 142.8 64% 72–83 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas +4.0 144.1 71% 80–94 ✓
West Virginia @ Cincinnati +12.2 146.1 87% 56–92 ✓
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss +2.0 141.7 64% 86–60 ✗
George Washington @ Duquesne +11.3 146.2 85% 65–67 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Saint Peter's +2.2 137.0 64% 89–74 ✗
Niagara @ Marist +4.0 129.0 72% 62–63 ✓
Cornell @ Columbia -4.5 156.2 37% 98–76 ✓
Creighton @ Villanova -0.1 138.3 49% 69–67 ✓
South Carolina @ Mississippi State +4.4 136.0 67% 93–89 ✗
William & Mary @ Towson +9.0 132.5 79% 56–67 ✓
East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro +2.4 138.4 61% 73–62 ✗
Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech +10.4 135.8 84% 76–82 ✓
Richmond @ George Mason +0.5 132.4 53% 46–64 ✓
South Florida @ Tulsa -4.5 147.5 28% 70–76 ✗
UAlbany @ Vermont +12.4 142.1 88% 72–75 ✓
Binghamton @ New Hampshire +3.8 149.2 67% 64–77 ✓
UMBC @ UMass Lowell +9.6 159.6 84% 89–94 ✓
Louisiana @ Arkansas State +0.0 147.3 50% 62–89 ✓
Utah Tech @ Stephen F. Austin +9.3 143.4 82% 71–84 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech +12.9 136.8 87% 70–84 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Sam Houston +6.3 134.4 79% 73–81 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Indiana State +6.0 145.7 70% 72–94 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Jackson State +15.3 135.4 90% 67–68 ✓
Kansas @ Houston +10.1 135.3 85% 46–76 ✓
Kentucky @ Tennessee +7.9 162.0 76% 85–81 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alcorn State +6.4 156.3 79% 95–104 ✓
Miami @ Florida State +3.6 152.8 69% 75–83 ✓
Charlotte @ East Carolina -1.0 133.0 43% 82–72 ✓
La Salle @ Loyola Chicago +11.1 144.1 86% 54–64 ✓
Colorado State @ Air Force -13.7 135.4 13% 82–73 ✓
Fairfield @ Mount St. Mary's +0.0 148.8 51% 96–92 ✗
Canisius @ Manhattan -3.5 136.9 29% 73–70 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Florida A&M -0.4 138.6 42% 67–66 ✓
Utah Valley @ Abilene Christian +1.3 136.7 57% 74–67 ✗
Florida International @ New Mexico State +2.0 141.5 64% 70–77 ✓
Florida @ Vanderbilt -10.5 155.2 20% 78–79 ✗
Marquette @ Xavier -1.3 154.5 46% 86–80 ✓
Colorado @ Oregon State -5.9 149.8 30% 73–57 ✓
UCF @ TCU +6.2 143.7 76% 79–77 ✗
Grambling @ Alabama State +1.0 129.8 56% 84–87 ✓
Southern @ Alabama A&M -3.9 134.1 37% 56–66 ✗
Seattle U @ Tarleton State +2.0 139.5 67% 66–69 ✓
Boston College @ Louisville -5.5 148.3 27% 67–61 ✓
Baylor @ Texas Tech -0.1 150.1 54% 68–78 ✗
Northeastern @ Stony Brook +2.9 140.6 65% 65–75 ✓
Bradley @ Drake +1.1 145.2 58% 67–72 ✓
Texas State @ Troy +3.5 140.6 62% 74–68 ✗
Wofford @ Chattanooga +1.8 143.3 60% 57–75 ✓
Clemson @ Wake Forest +3.2 149.4 67% 76–81 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Texas Southern +7.6 137.5 81% 78–93 ✓
Princeton @ Pennsylvania -6.0 143.2 26% 105–83 ✓
UC Davis @ Long Beach State +2.3 143.5 65% 88–78 ✗
North Carolina @ Duke +4.0 148.8 67% 84–79 ✗
Georgia @ Auburn +14.4 153.0 88% 78–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.