Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | VILL +100 CREI -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -1.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -1.1 (-0.9) | 137.1 (-1.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -1.6 (-3.6) | 141.2 (-5.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -1.3 (-3.3) | 138.1 (-2.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -0.1 (-1.9) | 138.3 (-2.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VILL 80 – 69 CREI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | CREI 76 – 72 VILL |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CREI 62 – 60 VILL |
| Dec 21, 2024 | CREI 86 – 79 VILL |
| Dec 21, 2023 | VILL 68 – 66 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#33) | 17.5 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#68) | 2.44 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#58) | 3.21 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#72) | 0.600 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 58.0% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 11.3% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 12.7% |
Game Analysis
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