Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | ECU -138 CLT +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +10 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -1.3 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.1 (+26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -1.2 (-8.8) | 132.3 (+21.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -1.0 (-9.0) | 132.7 (+21.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -1.0 (-9.0) | 133.0 (+21.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -0.5 (-9.5) | 133.1 (+20.9) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CLT 68 – 56 ECU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CLT 73 – 70 ECU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | ECU 78 – 76 CLT |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ECU 75 – 59 CLT |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CLT 67 – 52 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-9 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#176) | 3.6 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#206) | 0.84 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#189) | 0.93 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#237) | 0.558 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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