Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU -120 UCD +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +10 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -3.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -2.5 (-12.5) | 142.7 (+23.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -2.8 (-12.8) | 142.8 (+23.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -2.7 (-12.7) | 143.1 (+22.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -2.3 (-12.3) | 143.5 (+22.5) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UCD 76 – 70 LBSU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UCD 71 – 54 LBSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UCD 73 – 65 LBSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LBSU 84 – 73 UCD |
| Mar 17, 2024 | LBSU 74 – 70 UCD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 9-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#172) | -0.7 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#157) | 0.07 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#156) | -0.15 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#185) | 0.497 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.