Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU +110 UCD -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | UCD -2.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -3.3 (-2.7) | 150.0 (-4.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -2.8 (-3.2) | 148.8 (-2.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -2.9 (-3.1) | 147.7 (-1.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -2.7 (-3.3) | 150.0 (-4.0) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UCD 71 – 54 LBSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UCD 73 – 65 LBSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LBSU 84 – 73 UCD |
| Mar 17, 2024 | LBSU 74 – 70 UCD |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UCD 88 – 78 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-9 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#261) | -0.8 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#288) | 0.14 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#278) | 0.32 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#333) | 0.501 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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