Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | LUC -1000 LAS +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +10 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -11.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -8.3 (+1.7) | 144.3 (-26.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -11.2 (-1.2) | 143.6 (-25.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -11.1 (-1.1) | 144.1 (-26.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -10.9 (-0.9) | 146.1 (-28.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | LUC 71 – 61 LAS |
| Jan 8, 2025 | LUC 79 – 68 LAS |
| Mar 4, 2023 | LUC 76 – 73 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#95) | -2.1 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#58) | -0.09 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#69) | -0.19 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#45) | 0.481 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.