Well New York City really has it all. "Sheena Is a Punk Rocker" - The Ramones
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–17 on winners spread MAE 9.5 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota State +6.5 145.3 76% 63–79 ✓
Utah @ Oregon +1.7 152.0 63% 65–66 ✓
Wyoming @ Fresno State -0.2 141.8 42% 86–47 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +15.7 140.5 90% 87–92 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho -0.2 131.3 47% 72–64 ✓
Southern Utah @ UT Rio Grande Valley -3.1 152.2 31% 68–59 ✓
NC State @ Pittsburgh +6.6 149.6 76% 73–81 ✓
UConn @ Providence -6.2 140.8 27% 74–60 ✓
Morehead State @ Little Rock -4.3 138.6 34% 69–55 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Virginia +6.7 126.6 76% 57–72 ✓
North Texas @ Rice -5.6 134.3 29% 71–55 ✓
Grand Canyon @ California Baptist -6.7 136.2 25% 68–47 ✓
New Mexico @ Utah State +2.7 155.7 68% 85–87 ✓
Marshall @ James Madison +11.7 150.3 85% 64–81 ✓
Furman @ Western Carolina +3.1 146.7 67% 79–76 ✗
DePaul @ Seton Hall +20.7 145.9 90% 62–86 ✓
Missouri @ LSU +9.0 151.5 83% 80–84 ✓
Hampton @ Delaware +10.0 137.8 83% 50–80 ✓
Oklahoma State @ BYU +13.1 152.3 88% 71–85 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton -6.8 140.6 25% 81–71 ✓
Minnesota @ Northwestern +6.3 142.2 77% 66–90 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City +4.1 150.5 68% 61–60 ✗
Arizona @ USC -10.3 160.1 17% 65–78 ✗
San Diego @ Santa Clara +7.6 145.0 78% 79–104 ✓
Idaho State @ Northern Arizona -2.7 142.1 36% 68–60 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Santa Barbara +4.0 145.9 68% 81–64 ✗
UNLV @ Nevada +7.0 137.8 77% 65–75 ✓
Arizona State @ UCLA +3.8 135.4 69% 47–59 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +4.6 134.7 71% 57–74 ✓
Portland @ San Francisco +14.2 145.5 87% 51–72 ✓
Monmouth @ Charleston +5.1 149.2 75% 59–83 ✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville +1.0 141.8 57% 85–59 ✗
Nebraska @ Michigan -5.6 146.8 25% 85–70 ✓
Wisconsin @ Purdue +12.3 155.2 88% 70–78 ✓
Bucknell @ Colgate +9.5 130.7 82% 65–68 ✓
Drake @ Indiana State +1.9 155.6 57% 84–80 ✗
Austin Peay @ Stetson +2.5 151.3 75% 91–94 ✓
Ohio State @ Rutgers +0.3 134.7 48% 73–51 ✗
Towson @ UNC Wilmington +2.3 134.3 62% 66–56 ✗
Temple @ UTSA +0.5 151.5 55% 84–82 ✗
SMU @ UAB -1.6 152.3 50% 70–74 ✗
Lehigh @ Boston University +0.9 138.1 49% 84–79 ✗
Furman @ Samford +5.8 156.9 73% 77–84 ✓
Michigan State @ Indiana -2.6 137.7 40% 64–65 ✗
Stony Brook @ Drexel +3.0 141.2 59% 91–88 ✗
New Orleans @ SE Louisiana +6.0 142.2 66% 78–66 ✗
Arkansas State @ App State +5.0 146.4 73% 67–65 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga +1.3 142.4 55% 85–84 ✗
Illinois @ Iowa -1.3 167.7 46% 73–61 ✓
North Dakota State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +5.7 138.0 72% 58–68 ✓
Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington +9.1 143.6 80% 74–69 ✗
Maryland @ Penn State +1.1 142.5 53% 69–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.