Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UCSD -2000 CP +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +5 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -19.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+42.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -15.6 (-10.6) | 140.1 (+38.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -14.2 (-9.2) | 140.9 (+38.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -15.1 (-10.1) | 139.8 (+39.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -15.7 (-10.7) | 140.5 (+38.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | UCSD 72 – 69 CP |
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCSD 80 – 64 CP |
| Jan 2, 2026 | CP 67 – 65 UCSD |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UCSD 81 – 67 CP |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCSD 95 – 68 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 0-20 |
| Home | 14-2 | 3-11 |
| Away | 7-7 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#114) | -12.2 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#133) | -2.46 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#136) | -3.01 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#142) | 0.373 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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