Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD -205 CP +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -6.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -6.3 (-3.3) | 152.8 (-11.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -6.4 (-3.4) | 154.9 (-13.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -5.5 (-2.5) | 152.2 (-11.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -6.2 (-3.2) | 152.6 (-11.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCSD 80 – 64 CP |
| Jan 2, 2026 | CP 67 – 65 UCSD |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UCSD 81 – 67 CP |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCSD 95 – 68 CP |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCSD 92 – 87 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 85.3 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#122) | -3.6 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#113) | -0.45 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#117) | -0.55 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#99) | 0.481 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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