Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | CP +600 UCSD -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +14 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -12.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -11.9 (-2.1) | 154.2 (-6.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -11.7 (-2.3) | 153.9 (-5.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -11.0 (-3.0) | 154.0 (-6.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -9.8 (-4.2) | 157.1 (-9.1) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | UCSD 72 – 69 CP |
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCSD 80 – 64 CP |
| Jan 2, 2026 | CP 67 – 65 UCSD |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCSD 95 – 68 CP |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCSD 92 – 87 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 18-2 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-13 | 12-2 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#217) | 12.2 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#208) | 2.26 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#210) | 2.38 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#229) | 0.577 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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