Betting Lines
| Spread | UTSA -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | UTSA -205 TEM +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +2 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | UTSA -1.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTSA -1.2 (-3.2) | 150.8 (+15.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTSA -0.3 (-2.3) | 154.4 (+11.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTSA -0.5 (-2.5) | 154.6 (+11.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTSA -0.5 (-2.5) | 151.5 (+14.5) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TEM 70 – 64 UTSA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TEM 76 – 57 UTSA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UTSA 88 – 79 TEM |
| Mar 13, 2024 | TEM 64 – 61 UTSA |
| Feb 18, 2024 | TEM 83 – 77 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-9 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#256) | -2.8 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#274) | -0.74 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#284) | -0.90 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#284) | 0.465 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.