Betting Lines
| Spread | UTSA -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | TEM +115 UTSA -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +3 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -2.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (-33.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -1.8 (+1.2) | 149.1 (-24.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -2.2 (+0.8) | 150.6 (-25.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -1.8 (+1.2) | 151.7 (-26.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -2.1 (+0.9) | 148.6 (-23.6) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TEM 70 – 64 UTSA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TEM 76 – 57 UTSA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UTSA 88 – 79 TEM |
| Mar 10, 2024 | TEM 84 – 82 UTSA |
| Feb 18, 2024 | TEM 83 – 77 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-9 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#211) | -4.8 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#237) | -1.04 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#250) | -1.37 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#241) | 0.444 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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