I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
36–21 on winners spread MAE 9.2 57 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Holy Cross @ Colgate +15.9 138.4 89% 64–81 ✓
Lehigh @ Lafayette -0.6 132.6 42% 76–61 ✓
Navy @ Boston University +4.7 132.2 73% 61–70 ✓
Bucknell @ American University +2.2 130.6 64% 80–57 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland +4.7 149.9 72% 65–75 ✓
Cleveland State @ Youngstown State +7.9 148.6 80% 82–70 ✗
Evansville @ Illinois State +2.5 130.9 59% 59–53 ✗
Jacksonville @ Stetson +5.3 141.4 75% 87–88 ✓
UAB @ Temple -0.3 148.1 49% 100–72 ✓
Rutgers @ Wisconsin +7.7 135.0 76% 66–78 ✓
Niagara @ Siena -7.4 135.5 20% 66–59 ✓
Marist @ Quinnipiac +2.7 136.4 67% 64–73 ✓
Iona @ Manhattan -7.8 140.4 24% 60–77 ✗
Canisius @ Fairfield +6.2 142.2 78% 62–74 ✓
Tennessee State @ Western Illinois +2.5 134.0 60% 59–61 ✓
South Carolina State @ North Carolina Central +5.4 144.8 75% 68–79 ✓
Coppin State @ Morgan State +6.2 138.2 78% 60–78 ✓
Utah Tech @ UT Rio Grande Valley -1.8 146.5 28% 79–74 ✓
Southern Utah @ Stephen F. Austin +5.5 145.6 77% 60–87 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Wright State +5.1 164.9 70% 99–97 ✗
North Alabama @ Austin Peay +3.3 150.8 75% 71–77 ✓
Delaware State @ Maryland Eastern Shore -2.9 133.4 36% 59–67 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Rider +1.3 133.8 51% 56–61 ✓
Utah Valley @ Tarleton State +5.9 139.7 73% 63–60 ✗
California Baptist @ UT Arlington +6.1 142.6 78% 57–71 ✓
Seattle U @ Abilene Christian -1.8 140.1 44% 59–64 ✗
Marshall @ Georgia State +1.9 141.8 60% 86–74 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Alcorn State +15.8 135.5 90% 67–74 ✓
Southern @ Alabama State -0.5 130.2 42% 65–57 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama A&M -1.6 133.5 41% 74–73 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State +6.9 152.6 78% 84–89 ✓
Nicholls @ SE Louisiana +0.5 144.2 56% 80–54 ✗
Washington @ Washington State +6.2 150.2 77% 74–68 ✗
Milwaukee @ Green Bay +2.2 145.2 64% 95–84 ✗
Colorado @ Oregon +0.8 150.1 56% 79–75 ✗
Howard @ Norfolk State +3.8 147.2 67% 58–77 ✓
Florida International @ UTEP +7.0 142.4 76% 76–83 ✓
Sam Houston @ Louisiana Tech +10.1 135.1 77% 72–66 ✗
Arizona @ UCLA -15.3 147.9 14% 88–65 ✓
UIC @ Southern Illinois +4.6 139.7 71% 84–82 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Morehead State +8.4 136.2 79% 63–78 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Long Beach State +3.5 152.0 69% 76–74 ✗
UC Davis @ UC San Diego +7.5 140.4 79% 70–63 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Riverside +2.1 135.5 59% 74–84 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +21.8 140.7 91% 68–82 ✓
California @ Stanford +3.3 152.7 72% 58–80 ✓
Arizona State @ USC +5.5 146.1 75% 73–81 ✓
Utah @ Oregon State -6.6 145.4 31% 85–92 ✗
Radford @ High Point +9.8 152.1 83% 63–77 ✓
Missouri State @ Indiana State +8.8 148.7 82% 59–75 ✓
William & Mary @ North Carolina A&T -3.0 137.2 37% 79–62 ✓
Longwood @ Winthrop +0.4 144.0 55% 69–56 ✗
Belmont @ Northern Iowa +0.6 148.3 52% 62–67 ✓
Hampton @ Elon +2.9 141.5 62% 56–55 ✗
The Citadel @ Mercer +1.7 140.7 59% 76–84 ✓
Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville +8.8 138.3 83% 55–60 ✓
Akron @ Western Michigan -6.3 140.8 29% 84–90 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.