Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | LT -500 SHSU +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +6 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -10.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -7.8 (-13.8) | 135.7 (+2.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -9.4 (-15.4) | 136.4 (+1.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LT -10.1 (-16.1) | 135.1 (+2.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -9.2 (-15.2) | 135.8 (+2.2) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | LT 87 – 78 SHSU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SHSU 83 – 67 LT |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LT 90 – 66 SHSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LT 66 – 61 SHSU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SHSU 81 – 77 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 13-3 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#86) | -0.2 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#94) | 0.42 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#85) | 0.36 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#55) | 0.536 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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