Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -395 LT +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +16 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -13.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -9.3 (+6.7) | 135.9 (+14.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -12.3 (+3.7) | 134.1 (+15.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -11.6 (+4.4) | 133.5 (+16.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -11.9 (+4.1) | 133.8 (+16.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | LT 87 – 78 SHSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LT 90 – 66 SHSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LT 66 – 61 SHSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | SHSU 72 – 66 LT |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SHSU 81 – 77 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#105) | -4.8 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#101) | -0.43 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#102) | -0.85 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#72) | 0.479 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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