Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | LT -340 SHSU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | LT -8.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -7.6 (-2.6) | 143.1 (-16.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -6.8 (-1.8) | 146.2 (-19.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -7.2 (-2.2) | 146.5 (-19.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -7.4 (-2.4) | 145.4 (-18.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | LT 87 – 78 SHSU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SHSU 83 – 67 LT |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LT 90 – 66 SHSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | SHSU 72 – 66 LT |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SHSU 81 – 77 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#120) | -2.2 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#93) | -0.60 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#95) | -0.43 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#63) | 0.478 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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