Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | TEM +240 UAB -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +28 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -0.8 (-27.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -0.5 (-27.5) | 147.4 (+24.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -0.4 (-28.4) | 146.9 (+25.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -0.3 (-27.7) | 148.1 (+23.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -0.2 (-27.8) | 149.8 (+22.2) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UAB 76 – 71 TEM |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UAB 80 – 64 TEM |
| Mar 17, 2024 | UAB 85 – 69 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-9 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#198) | 2.1 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#252) | 1.00 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#250) | 0.96 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#251) | 0.557 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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