Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -275 TEM +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +16 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -5.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -5.8 (+10.2) | 143.6 (+10.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -4.7 (+11.3) | 145.8 (+8.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -4.6 (+11.4) | 146.8 (+7.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -4.8 (+11.2) | 146.2 (+7.8) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UAB 76 – 71 TEM |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UAB 80 – 64 TEM |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UAB 100 – 72 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#109) | -1.2 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#84) | -0.15 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#96) | -0.34 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#59) | 0.489 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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