That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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56–25 on winners spread MAE 10.1 81 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Iowa @ Clemson -18.5 155.8 5% 74–71 ✓
Nicholls @ UC Irvine +16.7 142.4 94% 56–83 ✓
Jacksonville State @ New Mexico +18.6 151.5 95% 61–79 ✓
Lafayette @ Penn State +19.5 121.7 96% 57–70 ✓
William & Mary @ Pittsburgh +4.1 134.2 64% 64–80 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Hofstra +5.2 145.5 68% 64–54 ✗
Tennessee @ Kansas -6.9 135.7 27% 64–50 ✓
Tulsa @ Oklahoma State +10.1 153.4 82% 56–82 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Arkansas State +1.1 132.9 54% 67–59 ✗
Oklahoma @ Seton Hall +3.6 121.1 63% 77–64 ✗
Long Beach State @ Oakland -17.7 164.7 5% 78–70 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Virginia Tech +22.3 149.8 98% 64–69 ✓
Sacramento State @ Hawai'i +1.0 125.5 54% 61–74 ✓
Grambling @ UTSA +15.7 136.2 92% 75–55 ✗
Lindenwood @ Illinois +29.7 151.8 100% 59–92 ✓
Robert Morris @ Mercer +5.1 145.2 68% 66–72 ✓
Idaho @ Pacific +20.3 157.1 97% 84–81 ✗
West Virginia @ Portland State -8.2 161.9 23% 89–71 ✓
UConn @ Alabama +1.6 148.1 56% 82–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ San Diego -2.5 147.3 41% 90–77 ✓
Northern Colorado @ North Dakota State +7.0 151.5 74% 80–70 ✗
Butler @ NC State -0.8 147.2 47% 61–76 ✗
California @ TCU +3.5 130.8 62% 48–59 ✓
Texas State @ Southern Utah +4.4 144.0 66% 78–65 ✗
Purdue @ Gonzaga +1.4 147.9 55% 84–66 ✗
Oregon @ Michigan State +4.3 134.3 65% 70–74 ✓
Army @ Manhattan -0.2 150.9 49% 71–72 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Navy +8.4 137.6 78% 59–75 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ UL Monroe -4.1 134.6 36% 65–64 ✓
James Madison @ South Dakota State -16.0 152.2 7% 79–60 ✓
Cleveland State @ Western Michigan +0.4 136.4 51% 71–49 ✗
Northeastern @ Princeton +14.8 136.4 91% 54–56 ✓
Missouri State @ Ball State -2.2 134.3 42% 64–67 ✗
UMBC @ Georgetown +15.1 161.5 92% 70–79 ✓
Houston Christian @ Missouri +31.1 158.5 100% 69–105 ✓
Hampton @ Wake Forest +17.9 152.9 95% 70–97 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UAlbany -8.2 143.0 23% 73–56 ✓
Little Rock @ Miami (OH) +3.1 169.7 61% 67–80 ✓
Southern @ Omaha -12.8 140.5 12% 78–88 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Northern Iowa +7.9 141.3 76% 76–83 ✓
Marist @ Bucknell +15.7 138.1 92% 60–54 ✗
Boston University @ Southeast Missouri State -0.7 137.7 47% 52–63 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Hofstra +6.4 150.7 72% 53–65 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Asheville +8.3 171.8 77% 61–73 ✓
South Dakota @ Coastal Carolina +5.7 145.9 70% 59–66 ✓
Utah Tech @ Cal State Fullerton +3.9 156.2 64% 66–60 ✗
Alabama State @ Eastern Illinois +9.3 127.4 80% 67–58 ✗
Binghamton @ La Salle +12.7 137.2 88% 62–65 ✓
New Hampshire @ George Washington +6.2 147.2 71% 54–75 ✓
Queens University @ George Mason +4.1 141.2 64% 65–72 ✓
Niagara @ St. John's +13.5 138.0 89% 70–78 ✓
Hartford @ Delaware +15.1 144.8 91% 50–78 ✓
Kent State @ Houston +19.5 127.4 96% 44–49 ✓
South Alabama @ Towson -0.4 129.6 48% 60–62 ✗
Oakland @ San José State +10.0 154.1 82% 67–80 ✓
Youngstown State @ Western Illinois -4.4 150.5 34% 88–64 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Rutgers +24.4 126.6 99% 49–83 ✓
Howard @ Austin Peay +10.4 138.7 83% 56–55 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ North Carolina Central +5.4 139.8 69% 53–58 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas +31.9 147.3 100% 54–91 ✓
Tarleton State @ Wichita State +3.1 124.6 61% 71–83 ✓
South Carolina State @ Western Kentucky +17.5 149.2 94% 64–90 ✓
Utah Valley @ Boise State +12.8 121.4 88% 69–87 ✓
Merrimack @ Bradley +11.6 126.1 85% 41–83 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Idaho State +11.7 132.7 86% 68–66 ✗
Kennesaw State @ VCU +11.1 132.8 84% 61–64 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Colorado State +22.1 128.9 98% 45–88 ✓
Presbyterian @ Charlotte +17.9 114.9 95% 42–69 ✓
Clemson @ California -5.1 127.1 32% 67–59 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Bowling Green -0.4 154.8 49% 69–57 ✓
Columbia @ Providence +17.8 148.3 95% 64–78 ✓
Bryant @ Syracuse +0.2 163.5 51% 73–72 ✗
North Alabama @ Georgia Tech +12.9 140.2 88% 61–80 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Middle Tennessee -2.8 131.2 40% 63–75 ✗
Colgate @ Pennsylvania +3.2 155.5 62% 69–81 ✓
Robert Morris @ Evansville +1.2 130.3 54% 53–54 ✓
UC Davis @ Milwaukee -2.6 149.3 41% 85–87 ✗
Delaware State @ Liberty +15.6 132.8 92% 53–80 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Vermont -1.9 131.1 43% 68–66 ✓
Louisiana @ Drake +7.5 150.9 75% 64–76 ✓
Northwestern State @ Central Arkansas +5.9 147.1 70% 74–66 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.