This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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63–26 on winners spread MAE 9.1 89 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
VCU @ Dayton +8.4 138.8 81% 86–91 ✓
Evansville @ Drake +12.6 146.4 86% 58–79 ✓
Ohio @ Miami (OH) -2.3 140.1 36% 72–59 ✓
Ball State @ Bowling Green +2.9 141.5 64% 70–80 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Buffalo -2.1 145.8 44% 78–68 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan +5.2 134.3 73% 62–65 ✓
VMI @ East Tennessee State +13.2 144.8 87% 66–98 ✓
Western Illinois @ Little Rock +2.9 138.5 62% 57–82 ✓
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb +3.2 141.7 70% 60–61 ✓
South Dakota @ Oral Roberts +4.5 148.9 66% 62–77 ✓
Kent State @ Toledo +5.6 152.2 72% 71–86 ✓
Pepperdine @ San Diego -1.7 146.0 40% 52–57 ✗
Wichita State @ Tulane +3.3 154.1 63% 75–85 ✓
UIC @ Bradley +10.3 138.2 82% 47–74 ✓
Boise State @ San Diego State +5.7 138.2 75% 79–77 ✗
Morehead State @ UT Martin -4.6 147.7 31% 84–78 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Portland -5.2 141.7 34% 70–78 ✗
Arkansas @ Alabama +15.9 170.9 88% 88–92 ✓
Campbell @ Monmouth +4.0 143.2 67% 67–90 ✓
Le Moyne @ Merrimack +5.8 138.4 76% 51–61 ✓
Mercer @ Samford +8.2 152.5 78% 57–70 ✓
Longwood @ High Point +3.0 146.5 57% 80–79 ✗
Memphis @ Florida Atlantic +7.1 164.3 77% 84–92 ✓
Georgetown @ St. John's +16.1 152.1 89% 78–86 ✓
Brown @ Yale +11.1 137.9 84% 84–81 ✗
Georgia Southern @ App State +11.2 148.1 83% 80–85 ✓
Saint Louis @ St. Bonaventure +9.3 149.9 85% 73–65 ✗
Rhode Island @ Fordham +5.8 143.5 77% 58–50 ✗
Davidson @ Saint Joseph's +2.8 140.9 67% 71–89 ✓
Siena @ Iona +15.0 133.1 89% 54–68 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Liberty +6.0 147.8 73% 79–82 ✓
Iowa State @ Kansas State -3.8 139.6 38% 58–65 ✗
Wagner @ Central Connecticut +3.8 129.1 62% 66–56 ✗
Maine @ Bryant +4.4 143.0 70% 58–84 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville +2.3 143.7 60% 72–83 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas +4.5 142.8 73% 80–94 ✓
West Virginia @ Cincinnati +11.0 146.6 86% 56–92 ✓
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss +0.2 140.3 47% 86–60 ✗
George Washington @ Duquesne +10.0 147.6 85% 65–67 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Saint Peter's +1.4 137.9 59% 89–74 ✗
Niagara @ Marist +2.9 130.0 63% 62–63 ✓
Cornell @ Columbia -5.3 156.9 30% 98–76 ✓
Creighton @ Villanova +1.6 141.2 48% 69–67 ✗
South Carolina @ Mississippi State +5.3 136.5 72% 93–89 ✗
William & Mary @ Towson +8.7 130.0 81% 56–67 ✓
East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro +2.7 134.5 57% 73–62 ✗
Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech +9.5 134.4 83% 76–82 ✓
Richmond @ George Mason +2.0 131.6 55% 46–64 ✓
South Florida @ Tulsa -4.7 147.8 34% 70–76 ✗
UAlbany @ Vermont +13.7 145.8 89% 72–75 ✓
Binghamton @ New Hampshire +3.7 148.9 69% 64–77 ✓
UMBC @ UMass Lowell +10.2 162.3 84% 89–94 ✓
Louisiana @ Arkansas State -0.3 146.7 44% 62–89 ✗
Utah Tech @ Stephen F. Austin +9.4 142.4 82% 71–84 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech +12.0 136.1 86% 70–84 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Sam Houston +7.4 133.0 81% 73–81 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Indiana State +6.9 146.7 74% 72–94 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Jackson State +14.7 134.9 90% 67–68 ✓
Kansas @ Houston +11.8 133.1 85% 46–76 ✓
Kentucky @ Tennessee +9.8 162.1 76% 85–81 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alcorn State +7.1 161.0 79% 95–104 ✓
Miami @ Florida State +1.9 151.2 65% 75–83 ✓
Charlotte @ East Carolina -1.2 132.3 51% 82–72 ✓
La Salle @ Loyola Chicago +8.3 144.3 84% 54–64 ✓
Colorado State @ Air Force -12.8 132.5 15% 82–73 ✓
Fairfield @ Mount St. Mary's +0.4 146.1 44% 96–92 ✗
Canisius @ Manhattan -3.9 138.4 33% 73–70 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Florida A&M -0.7 137.5 45% 67–66 ✓
Utah Valley @ Abilene Christian +0.3 140.3 51% 74–67 ✗
Florida International @ New Mexico State +0.8 140.9 52% 70–77 ✓
Florida @ Vanderbilt -9.7 154.1 20% 78–79 ✗
Marquette @ Xavier -0.7 153.4 49% 86–80 ✓
Colorado @ Oregon State -8.6 147.5 20% 73–57 ✓
UCF @ TCU +6.7 144.5 77% 79–77 ✗
Grambling @ Alabama State +0.4 132.9 56% 84–87 ✓
Southern @ Alabama A&M -2.9 135.9 53% 56–66 ✗
Seattle U @ Tarleton State +1.8 140.0 66% 66–69 ✓
Boston College @ Louisville -6.0 146.4 28% 67–61 ✓
Baylor @ Texas Tech -0.3 148.2 51% 68–78 ✗
Northeastern @ Stony Brook +0.9 137.8 56% 65–75 ✓
Bradley @ Drake +0.7 141.8 56% 67–72 ✓
Texas State @ Troy +5.1 141.6 63% 74–68 ✗
Wofford @ Chattanooga +1.8 144.2 57% 57–75 ✓
Clemson @ Wake Forest +2.2 147.9 63% 76–81 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Texas Southern +6.9 141.7 77% 78–93 ✓
Princeton @ Pennsylvania -6.5 139.9 26% 105–83 ✓
UC Davis @ Long Beach State +2.8 142.8 66% 88–78 ✗
North Carolina @ Duke +3.8 148.0 67% 84–79 ✗
Georgia @ Auburn +14.9 152.1 88% 78–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.