Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–17 on winners spread MAE 9.2 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota State +4.5 143.8 73% 63–79 ✓
Utah @ Oregon +1.4 149.6 64% 65–66 ✓
Wyoming @ Fresno State +0.1 140.5 46% 86–47 ✗
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +14.2 140.9 89% 87–92 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho -0.5 128.4 47% 72–64 ✓
Southern Utah @ UT Rio Grande Valley -4.8 149.8 29% 68–59 ✓
NC State @ Pittsburgh +7.7 146.3 77% 73–81 ✓
UConn @ Providence -6.0 140.6 23% 74–60 ✓
Morehead State @ Little Rock -4.8 138.6 35% 69–55 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Virginia +8.5 125.3 77% 57–72 ✓
North Texas @ Rice -6.7 135.0 21% 71–55 ✓
Grand Canyon @ California Baptist -7.1 135.7 28% 68–47 ✓
New Mexico @ Utah State +2.6 154.6 67% 85–87 ✓
Marshall @ James Madison +9.6 149.9 81% 64–81 ✓
Furman @ Western Carolina +0.7 147.7 51% 79–76 ✗
DePaul @ Seton Hall +17.4 143.4 90% 62–86 ✓
Missouri @ LSU +7.6 151.2 81% 80–84 ✓
Hampton @ Delaware +9.9 139.5 81% 50–80 ✓
Oklahoma State @ BYU +12.8 151.3 88% 71–85 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton -6.8 141.9 25% 81–71 ✓
Minnesota @ Northwestern +6.4 139.5 77% 66–90 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City +2.5 150.5 63% 61–60 ✗
Arizona @ USC -9.8 162.1 19% 65–78 ✗
San Diego @ Santa Clara +8.0 146.0 78% 79–104 ✓
Idaho State @ Northern Arizona -3.5 138.4 34% 68–60 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Santa Barbara +3.7 144.4 60% 81–64 ✗
UNLV @ Nevada +7.4 137.5 77% 65–75 ✓
Arizona State @ UCLA +5.4 133.8 73% 47–59 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +6.3 135.5 76% 57–74 ✓
Portland @ San Francisco +13.7 143.4 86% 51–72 ✓
Monmouth @ Charleston +7.7 148.4 79% 59–83 ✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville +0.2 141.9 51% 85–59 ✗
Nebraska @ Michigan -4.7 147.3 29% 85–70 ✓
Wisconsin @ Purdue +12.1 150.4 87% 70–78 ✓
Bucknell @ Colgate +11.2 131.4 85% 65–68 ✓
Drake @ Indiana State +1.3 155.5 54% 84–80 ✗
Austin Peay @ Stetson +4.1 150.4 73% 91–94 ✓
Ohio State @ Rutgers +0.5 133.9 55% 73–51 ✗
Towson @ UNC Wilmington +2.1 132.1 53% 66–56 ✗
Temple @ UTSA +0.3 154.4 49% 84–82 ✗
SMU @ UAB -0.6 150.4 55% 70–74 ✗
Lehigh @ Boston University -0.4 138.8 49% 84–79 ✓
Furman @ Samford +4.4 157.2 67% 77–84 ✓
Michigan State @ Indiana -3.7 137.7 35% 64–65 ✗
Stony Brook @ Drexel +3.7 138.5 63% 91–88 ✗
New Orleans @ SE Louisiana +5.3 141.9 72% 78–66 ✗
Arkansas State @ App State +4.1 147.4 66% 67–65 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga +1.9 143.2 50% 85–84 ✗
Illinois @ Iowa -2.3 166.9 33% 73–61 ✓
North Dakota State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +4.6 134.7 68% 58–68 ✓
Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington +8.2 140.6 79% 74–69 ✗
Maryland @ Penn State +0.8 141.4 54% 69–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.