Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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58–19 on winners spread MAE 10.3 77 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Central Connecticut @ Manhattan +2.5 141.3 59% 78–67 ✗
Delaware @ Princeton +14.5 141.6 87% 76–69 ✗
Dartmouth @ South Florida +10.4 133.4 81% 55–59 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ St. Bonaventure +2.3 135.1 60% 71–58 ✗
Austin Peay @ Murray State +8.3 135.6 78% 60–68 ✓
Southern @ Youngstown State +9.9 151.8 81% 81–85 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Tulsa +11.7 134.2 88% 51–66 ✓
Chicago State @ Southern Illinois +11.9 139.6 86% 52–63 ✓
Missouri State @ Oral Roberts +13.2 140.4 85% 77–80 ✓
Green Bay @ Stanford +18.1 133.3 90% 40–85 ✓
Creighton @ Marquette +7.6 153.6 77% 58–69 ✓
Weber State @ Cal Poly +10.9 132.0 81% 74–45 ✗
Indiana @ Kansas +6.3 143.7 81% 62–84 ✓
Saint Francis @ Miami +21.8 152.2 91% 76–91 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ IU Indianapolis +2.1 137.1 42% 70–59 ✗
Missouri @ UCF +0.9 149.7 57% 68–66 ✗
Wake Forest @ Rutgers +12.6 136.0 86% 57–81 ✓
Liberty @ Bryant -2.4 149.5 36% 82–62 ✓
Providence @ Seton Hall +1.8 140.7 54% 71–67 ✗
Montana @ Prairie View A&M -2.7 134.0 39% 81–76 ✓
Gonzaga @ Alabama +2.0 157.1 50% 100–90 ✗
Longwood @ The Citadel -2.5 138.4 41% 75–70 ✓
Towson @ Northern Iowa -6.1 134.9 32% 66–83 ✗
North Florida @ Pittsburgh +14.9 147.8 89% 56–82 ✓
Houston @ Virginia -1.6 124.7 22% 69–61 ✓
Little Rock @ Jacksonville State +7.7 150.4 79% 62–72 ✓
Stetson @ Ohio +2.8 144.7 67% 66–85 ✓
Radford @ Eastern Kentucky -0.8 144.1 47% 65–67 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Gardner-Webb +3.4 132.7 67% 70–72 ✓
Delaware State @ Drexel +13.6 134.5 86% 52–85 ✓
Florida International @ Florida Atlantic +21.1 148.0 90% 53–79 ✓
Morehead State @ Mercer +7.1 135.0 79% 52–79 ✓
Troy @ SE Louisiana -4.5 145.8 30% 77–71 ✓
Florida A&M @ Louisville +6.2 135.0 81% 55–61 ✓
UT Martin @ Bowling Green +4.8 152.1 73% 75–67 ✗
La Salle @ Cincinnati +12.8 144.9 87% 60–78 ✓
Indiana State @ Duquesne +2.0 152.8 62% 86–92 ✓
Charlotte @ Monmouth -12.8 134.3 15% 80–46 ✓
DePaul @ Northwestern +9.5 136.7 81% 45–83 ✓
East Carolina @ South Carolina -3.9 136.5 34% 64–56 ✓
Alabama State @ Georgia Tech +17.0 138.7 89% 60–96 ✓
St. John's @ Florida State -8.2 148.2 22% 93–79 ✓
Nicholls @ Mississippi State +21.6 132.1 90% 66–68 ✓
Ohio State @ North Carolina -1.9 155.7 44% 84–89 ✗
Sam Houston @ Texas State -6.1 132.4 21% 69–62 ✓
Samford @ South Carolina State -6.3 158.1 33% 61–62 ✗
Campbell @ Georgia Southern +0.3 139.2 55% 53–54 ✓
Lamar @ UL Monroe +3.4 139.2 61% 59–83 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah +10.9 153.2 82% 101–106 ✓
Northwestern State @ Rice +1.9 156.9 54% 73–110 ✓
North Texas @ Massachusetts -0.8 129.8 42% 62–44 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Oklahoma +18.7 148.3 90% 66–87 ✓
Cornell @ Syracuse +4.3 151.9 68% 63–78 ✓
Toledo @ Marshall +10.4 156.7 83% 85–100 ✓
Tulane @ George Mason -2.0 147.1 45% 56–62 ✗
Illinois State @ Ball State +4.7 142.9 68% 69–83 ✓
Jackson State @ Texas Tech +12.1 140.4 83% 52–102 ✓
Bradley @ Arkansas +11.0 136.5 83% 57–76 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Illinois +25.8 151.5 91% 47–68 ✓
Grambling @ Virginia Tech +11.9 135.8 82% 48–74 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Jacksonville +11.6 136.9 82% 63–72 ✓
Western Carolina @ Tennessee Tech +3.9 148.5 64% 75–65 ✗
UC Davis @ Eastern Washington +0.0 149.3 55% 68–79 ✓
Northern Illinois @ VCU +10.5 140.6 79% 63–90 ✓
UNC Asheville @ East Tennessee State +1.2 145.3 55% 74–73 ✗
Hampton @ Norfolk State +7.3 146.6 78% 66–78 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Bellarmine +10.7 141.1 82% 71–67 ✗
Villanova @ Saint Joseph's -3.3 146.0 37% 71–64 ✓
Lipscomb @ Michigan +11.8 146.4 84% 75–83 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Hartford -4.3 123.1 24% 67–51 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Furman +1.6 152.2 57% 70–72 ✓
San Francisco @ UNLV +10.3 142.2 78% 75–73 ✗
Temple @ Ole Miss +11.5 137.8 84% 55–63 ✓
UCLA @ Kentucky -3.3 141.6 36% 63–53 ✓
Utah @ BYU -6.1 145.7 28% 66–75 ✗
Davidson @ Purdue +14.9 144.0 86% 61–69 ✓
Texas Southern @ North Carolina A&T +1.1 143.3 62% 66–67 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.