Massachusetts
Minutemen
44
–
62
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Classic
North Texas
Mean Green
Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | MASS +188 UNT -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +18 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -0.9 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -0.9 (-17.1) | 126.7 (-20.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -3.1 (-14.9) | 124.9 (-18.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -0.8 (-17.2) | 129.6 (-23.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -0.8 (-17.2) | 129.8 (-23.8) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2021 | UNT 66 – 57 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 31-7 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 16-4 |
| Home | 8-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 56.3 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#86) | 6.2 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#45) | 1.98 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#61) | 2.72 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#41) | 0.577 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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