Massachusetts
Minutemen
57
–
66
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Classic
North Texas
Mean Green
Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +9 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -3.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -1.6 (-7.4) | 137.5 (-14.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -2.4 (-6.6) | 134.9 (-11.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -1.9 (-7.1) | 139.8 (-16.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -2.0 (-7.0) | 138.3 (-15.3) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | UNT 62 – 44 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#151) | 4.7 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#138) | -0.09 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#147) | 0.21 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#85) | 0.505 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 79.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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