Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | BALL -150 ILST +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | BALL -7.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -5.3 (+8.7) | 138.3 (+13.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -4.0 (+10.0) | 139.2 (+12.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -5.1 (+8.9) | 141.7 (+10.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -4.7 (+9.3) | 142.9 (+9.1) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2021 | ILST 85 – 64 BALL |
| Dec 13, 2020 | BALL 82 – 66 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#123) | -5.0 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#170) | -0.42 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#155) | -0.97 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#213) | 0.470 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.