Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | HALL -163 PROV +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PROV +4 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | HALL -5.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -2.6 (-6.6) | 140.1 (-2.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -2.2 (-6.2) | 138.5 (-0.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -2.5 (-6.5) | 140.1 (-2.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -1.8 (-5.8) | 140.7 (-2.7) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | HALL 87 – 80 PROV |
| Dec 19, 2025 | HALL 72 – 67 PROV |
| Jan 29, 2025 | PROV 69 – 67 HALL |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PROV 91 – 85 HALL |
| Jan 24, 2024 | PROV 67 – 63 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | PROV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#71) | 6.0 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#118) | 0.58 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#144) | 0.98 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#93) | 0.508 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | PROV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 39.0% |
| FT Rate | 34.0% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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