Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -400 TEM +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +8 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -12.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -10.3 (-2.3) | 134.7 (-16.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -11.0 (-3.0) | 137.8 (-19.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -11.5 (-3.5) | 137.8 (-19.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -10.8 (-2.8) | 134.5 (-16.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2023 | MISS 77 – 76 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-10 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#67) | 0.2 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#82) | -0.25 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#74) | 0.07 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#59) | 0.513 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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