Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | TEM +155 MISS -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +1 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -15.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -8.7 (-9.7) | 139.4 (+13.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -9.4 (-10.4) | 138.3 (+14.7) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -8.8 (-9.8) | 138.1 (+14.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -8.6 (-9.6) | 141.3 (+11.7) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | MISS 63 – 55 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-9 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#142) | -6.3 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#129) | 1.13 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#194) | 1.19 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#198) | 0.498 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 34.4% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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