Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -200 CREI +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +11 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -7.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-29.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -6.8 (+4.2) | 153.9 (-26.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -6.7 (+4.3) | 152.2 (-25.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -8.2 (+2.8) | 152.7 (-25.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -7.6 (+3.4) | 153.6 (-26.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MARQ 86 – 62 CREI |
| Dec 21, 2025 | CREI 84 – 63 MARQ |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CREI 77 – 67 MARQ |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MARQ 79 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CREI 89 – 75 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-7 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 14-6 |
| Home | 16-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#28) | 10.9 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#35) | 0.91 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.54 (#21) | 1.43 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#50) | 0.570 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 10.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.