And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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43–12 on winners spread MAE 8.5 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UConn @ Butler -6.1 140.9 31% 68–46 ✓
Sacramento State @ Fresno State +5.5 136.7 68% 59–53 ✗
San José State @ Pacific +1.2 145.6 58% 58–59 ✓
Winthrop @ LSU +12.3 145.5 87% 81–89 ✓
Nebraska @ Kansas State +9.6 137.4 82% 56–71 ✓
Texas A&M @ Memphis +10.0 150.1 81% 79–83 ✓
Richmond @ Clemson -2.4 137.5 44% 57–85 ✗
Pepperdine @ Grand Canyon +5.0 137.2 72% 73–83 ✓
Portland @ Oregon +7.8 144.7 75% 56–78 ✓
Drake @ Saint Louis +6.0 142.6 73% 75–83 ✓
Wyoming @ Dayton +2.6 134.4 57% 49–66 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ UTEP +1.9 148.0 62% 55–60 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Iowa +17.4 152.1 88% 75–106 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Wichita State +2.5 133.5 58% 59–49 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Cal State Bakersfield +3.5 132.7 57% 65–59 ✗
Idaho State @ Washington +11.4 138.0 83% 55–90 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Portland State +1.8 146.8 54% 85–73 ✗
Tennessee @ Arizona +4.2 148.5 73% 70–75 ✓
NC State @ Vanderbilt -6.2 143.1 26% 70–66 ✓
Howard @ Harvard +12.6 136.8 83% 66–54 ✗
Canisius @ Penn State +18.2 145.7 89% 67–97 ✓
Stanford @ Texas +6.7 135.5 72% 62–72 ✓
Army @ Stony Brook -0.1 139.6 45% 59–66 ✗
William & Mary @ UMBC +8.0 144.0 81% 62–78 ✓
Western Michigan @ Iowa State +25.4 129.5 90% 57–73 ✓
Merrimack @ Bucknell +13.5 132.2 89% 55–61 ✓
Northeastern @ UIC +5.8 134.3 73% 73–81 ✓
Elon @ Valparaiso +6.8 140.5 65% 66–71 ✓
High Point @ UNC Wilmington +10.8 143.4 82% 82–85 ✓
Niagara @ NJIT -2.4 126.9 42% 53–62 ✗
Belmont @ Chattanooga +9.3 157.1 81% 83–79 ✗
Robert Morris @ Mount St. Mary's +5.6 132.8 73% 68–59 ✗
Rhode Island @ Georgia State +1.9 130.7 56% 66–75 ✓
UAlbany @ Loyola Chicago +12.4 139.8 87% 56–68 ✓
Long Island University @ James Madison +31.9 151.7 91% 79–115 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Saint Peter's -6.2 136.5 32% 56–63 ✗
Norfolk State @ North Carolina A&T -3.7 142.4 38% 70–66 ✓
Green Bay @ Oregon State +14.9 130.9 88% 56–65 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Eastern Michigan -2.5 160.6 50% 77–79 ✗
McNeese @ Southern Miss +25.9 137.4 91% 67–86 ✓
Tarleton State @ Air Force +6.1 134.8 79% 67–81 ✓
Oakland @ Boise State +27.2 142.9 91% 57–77 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ UTSA +8.3 145.1 78% 69–90 ✓
Southern @ UAB +14.5 153.2 86% 66–92 ✓
Texas Southern @ Hampton -3.9 141.4 35% 82–77 ✓
Cleveland State @ Loyola Marymount +7.1 137.2 76% 59–70 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Colorado +17.1 155.1 87% 77–88 ✓
California @ Santa Clara +12.0 133.8 86% 62–71 ✓
Buffalo @ West Virginia +23.3 152.2 91% 78–96 ✓
Auburn @ USC +2.8 136.8 66% 71–74 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia +0.3 133.0 51% 62–77 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ TCU +21.9 131.8 91% 43–88 ✓
Central Michigan @ Missouri State +8.5 132.2 76% 58–79 ✓
Alcorn State @ Seattle U +10.1 144.1 82% 58–72 ✓
Iona @ New Mexico +6.5 145.3 71% 74–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.