Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | LMU -400 CLE +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +11 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -8.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -6.4 (+4.6) | 137.8 (-8.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -5.2 (+5.8) | 138.3 (-9.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -6.3 (+4.7) | 137.3 (-8.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -7.1 (+3.9) | 137.2 (-8.2) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#102) | 0.4 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#82) | -0.01 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#88) | -0.10 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#72) | 0.448 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.