Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Under |
| Money | NJIT +170 NIA -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NJIT +9 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | NIA -2.8 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 114.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -2.5 (+11.5) | 128.4 (-13.4) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -1.7 (+10.7) | 124.9 (-9.9) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -2.4 (+11.4) | 126.9 (-11.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -0.9 (+9.9) | 127.0 (-12.0) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | NIA 89 – 81 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#316) | -1.2 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#336) | 1.05 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#329) | 0.88 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#345) | 0.564 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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